SPC AC 061721
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1121 AM CST MON FEB 06 2012
   
   VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A NRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER SRN CANADA WILL PROGRESS QUICKLY
   ESEWD OVER NRN NEW ENGLAND...WHILE AN ASSOCIATED REINFORCING SURGE
   OF CONTINENTAL AIR SPREADS SWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES.  FARTHER
   S...A FRONT WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FROM S FL WWD ACROSS THE
   SRN GULF OF MEXICO.  LINGERING MOISTURE/INSTABILITY OVER CENTRAL/S
   FL WILL MAINTAIN A RISK FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY DURING
   THE DAY AS EMBEDDED SPEED MAXIMA EJECT EWD OVER N FL.  FARTHER W...
   A MOISTENING WAA PATTERN WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER S TX TOMORROW
   NIGHT.  THE LOW-MIDLEVEL MOISTENING COULD BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
   WEAK INSTABILITY...THOUGH THE LIGHTNING RISK APPEARS MARGINAL AT
   THIS TIME.
   
   A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH NEAR 33 N AND 134 W IS FORECAST TO DIG
   SEWD JUST OFF THE SRN CA/NRN BAJA COAST TOMORROW.  THE RICHEST
   MOISTURE PLUME IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE...AND WEAK
   OFFSHORE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL LIMIT THE PROSPECTS FOR SURFACE-BASED
   INSTABILITY INLAND.  NAM/GFS FORECAST SOUNDINGS CONFIRM ONLY MINIMAL
   BUOYANCY IN THE 850-500 MB LAYER...WITH RELATIVELY WARM EQUILIBRIUM
   LEVEL HEIGHTS.  THUS...THE PROSPECTS FOR LIGHTNING PRODUCTION INLAND
   APPEAR TOO LIMITED TO WARRANT MAINTAINING A TSTM OUTLOOK AREA FOR
   COASTAL SRN CA.
   
   ..THOMPSON.. 02/06/2012
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z